Southport 1-1 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
1.22/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.31
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Farsley AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
14.11.2023 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
12.11.2022 Southport Southport 4-0 HT 2-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
15.10.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-3 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
18.04.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
28.12.2021 Southport Southport 4-0 HT 4-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
1-1
AWAY Farsley AFC
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southport vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport and Farsley AFC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Southport had 56% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 44%, shots finished 7-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southport had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Southport and 0.50 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Southport vs Farsley AFC?

Southport 1-1 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southport 40%, draw 27%, Farsley AFC 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southport), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southport) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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