Maidstone United 1-5 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.51/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.43
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
20.11.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
30.04.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
21.08.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
24.10.2020 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
1-5
AWAY Chelmsford City
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City cruised past Maidstone United 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidstone United had 61% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 39%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Maidstone United and 0.60 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Chelmsford City?

Maidstone United 1-5 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 41%, draw 27%, Chelmsford City 33%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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