Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.64/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.45
-1% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Chester
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
07.12.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
15.04.2022 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
30.08.2021 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-1 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
06.10.2020 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1-1
AWAY Chester
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers and Chester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kidderminster Harriers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 55% of the ball to Chester's 45%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.80 for Chester.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester?

Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 42%, draw 30%, Chester 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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