Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.8
6+ Goals
7%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.53/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.61
-6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
09.03.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
28.10.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
28.01.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-2 HT 2-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
20.12.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İNFAT
27.08.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
2-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town edged past Darlington 1883 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 37% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 63%, shots finished 8-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.67 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883?

Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 43%, draw 27%, Darlington 1883 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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