Mansfield Town 1-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.17
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.37
6+
6%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.53
1/2
2%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.46
X/2
12%
5.95
X/X
17%
4.66
2/1
3%
27.0
2/2
19%
4.03
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 3% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mansfield Town The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers The Market 37%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.52 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Average Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.51 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
308 Passes 258
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.12.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
10.10.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK
15.08.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
28.01.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
03.09.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-3 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
04.12.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-3 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
1 - 2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.36 xG 1.38
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
156 Passes 296
56% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 44
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Mansfield Town vs Doncaster Rovers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Doncaster Rovers squeezed past Mansfield Town 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 28% / 33%); Doncaster Rovers picked one for it. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Mansfield Town had 40% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 60%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.36 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.50 for Doncaster Rovers.

Mansfield Town vs Doncaster Rovers Result & Final Score

Mansfield Town 1 - 2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mansfield Town vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 39%, draw 28%, Doncaster Rovers 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mansfield Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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