Hessen Kassel 3-0 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.37/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.12
-24% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-3 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
28.07.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 3-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
17.11.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 4-1 HT 1-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
30.10.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 3-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hessen Kassel cruised past Mainz 05 II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hessen Kassel as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hessen Kassel and 2.17 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Mainz 05 II?

Hessen Kassel 3-0 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hessen Kassel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 47%, draw 20%, Mainz 05 II 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hessen Kassel), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hessen Kassel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
9 Aug 2025
14:30 Weiche Flensburg vs HSC Hannover Analysis →
15:00 Hallescher FC vs Hertha Zehlendorf Analysis →
15:00 Babelsberg vs FSV Zwickau Analysis →
15:00 BFC Preussen vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
15:00 Magdeburg II vs Luckenwalde Analysis →
15:00 Schott Mainz vs Bahlinger SC Analysis →