NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NEC Nijmegen 5-0 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen cruised past Excelsior 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.56, roughly 64%.
By the numbers, possession split 62% to 38% in NEC Nijmegen's favour, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.48 to 1.03.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for NEC Nijmegen against 1.50 for Excelsior.
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Result & Final Score
NEC Nijmegen 5-0 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 56%, draw 24%, Excelsior 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.