Heerenveen 1-1 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
14%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.29
Over
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.45
2-3
38%
1.89
4-5
28%
2.79
6+
13%
7.77
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.45 — our 21% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.98
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.55
X/1
21%
4.27
X/2
4%
10.6
X/X
10%
6.25
2/1
8%
20.15
2/2
6%
7.93
2/X
6%
16.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Heerenveen The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam The Market 22%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.85 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.00
1.17 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.12
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.9 Crosses 17.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Volendam
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.83 xG 0.86
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
472 Passes 281
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Volendam Volendam 0-4 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
16.12.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
08.04.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-1 HT 2-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
11.01.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOK
23.10.2022 Volendam Volendam 1-3 HT 1-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
13.07.2019 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-4 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
1-1
AWAY Volendam
1.52 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
392 Passes 277
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Heerenveen vs Volendam
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Heerenveen and Volendam finished all square at 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Heerenveen at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 58% to 42% in Heerenveen's favour, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.52 to 0.79.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Heerenveen against 1.33 for Volendam.

Heerenveen vs Volendam Result & Final Score

Heerenveen 1-1 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heerenveen vs Volendam Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 66%, draw 20%, Volendam 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5
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