Volendam 0-4 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Feb 2024

Volendam
0-4 HT 0-1
Heerenveen
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Volendam vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.08
1/2
4%
21.2
1/X
12%
15.45
X/1
11%
9.73
X/2
16%
4.02
X/X
10%
5.83
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.1
2/X
3%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 60%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.16/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.28
-28% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
18.2 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Volendam vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Heerenveen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.89 xG 1.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
253 Passes 490
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
08.04.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-1 HT 2-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
11.01.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOK
23.10.2022 Volendam Volendam 1-3 HT 1-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
13.07.2019 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-4 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HAZ
18.07.2017 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HAZ

Volendam 0-4 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
0-4
AWAY Heerenveen
0.72 xG 2.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 10
392 Passes 399
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen swept aside Volendam 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Volendam had 50% of the ball to Heerenveen's 50%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 0.72 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Volendam and 2.00 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Heerenveen?

Volendam 0-4 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Volendam 27%, draw 25%, Heerenveen 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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