AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
2-1
HT 2-1
Ajax
HOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
0-2
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOK
1-2
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar saw off Ajax 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 43% of the ball to Ajax's 57%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.51 to 0.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ajax.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.17 for Ajax.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax?
AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 42%, draw 29%, Ajax 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.