Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.41
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2
12%
6.06
X/X
12%
3.89
2/1
10%
32.0
2/2
16%
4.9
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.12/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.46
+8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.8 Crosses 17.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 0.97
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
215 Passes 487
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
29.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 HT 1-2 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
25.02.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.58 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 4
301 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Tokyo Verdy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 50% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 50%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.58 to 1.00 — on chances, Yokohama F. Marinos could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.00 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 38%, draw 28%, Yokohama F. Marinos 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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