Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Jun 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
1-2 HT 1-2
Tokyo Verdy
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.17
X/2
11%
9.35
X/X
13%
5.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.25
2/2
10%
6.63
2/X
6%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.01/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.61
+18% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
455 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.2 Crosses 15.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.21
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
542 Passes 200
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Tokyo Verdy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-2
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.58 xG 0.40
76% Ball Possession 24%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
536 Passes 112
88% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 76% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 24%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.58 to 0.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 50%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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