Consadole Sapporo 0-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.56
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
10%
6.33
X/2
15%
4.88
X/X
15%
4.46
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
14%
3.16
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.0pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.26/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.94
-15% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 81%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.6 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.30 xG 0.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
369 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-1 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
15.07.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
04.03.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 2-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
23.09.2017 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-2 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
20.05.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
01.12.2012 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 4-1 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
0-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata
0.38 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
451 Passes 350
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata edged past Consadole Sapporo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Albirex Niigata made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 55% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 45%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.38 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.83 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Albirex Niigata?

Consadole Sapporo 0-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 31%, draw 34%, Albirex Niigata 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Under 2.5
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