Melhus 1-0 Nardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 9 Aug 2025

Melhus
1-0 HT 0-0
Nardo
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.35
No
39%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.9pp
39%
BTTS No
30%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nardo EU Bookmakers 37%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.54/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.84
-30% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Nardo
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2025 Nardo Nardo 2-0 HT 1-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
10.08.2024 Melhus Melhus 0-2 HT 0-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
15.06.2024 Nardo Nardo 4-1 HT 2-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
17.09.2022 Nardo Nardo 2-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
10.06.2022 Melhus Melhus 0-5 HT 0-2 Nardo Nardo NOR4
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus nicked a narrow win over Nardo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 19% / 40%) promised a tight game; Melhus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nardo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Melhus and 3.00 for Nardo.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Nardo?

Melhus 1-0 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Nardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Melhus 41%, draw 19%, Nardo 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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