Melhus 0-2 Nardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 10 Aug 2024

Melhus
0-2 HT 0-0
Nardo
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+8.1pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.5pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Nardo EU Bookmakers 69%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.36/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/1.74
+49% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Nardo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.06.2024 Nardo Nardo 4-1 HT 2-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
17.09.2022 Nardo Nardo 2-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
10.06.2022 Melhus Melhus 0-5 HT 0-2 Nardo Nardo NOR4
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo got the better of Melhus 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nardo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nardo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Melhus and 3.67 for Nardo.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Nardo?

Melhus 0-2 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Nardo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Melhus 26%, draw 21%, Nardo 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nardo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nardo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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