Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
7%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 19%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
2.77/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.23
+47% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kalisz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 1-2 HT 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
17.03.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
02.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
1-0
AWAY Kalisz
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola edged past Kalisz 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stal Stalowa Wola as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 57% of the ball to Kalisz's 43%, shots finished 22-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.00 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz?

Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 63%, draw 20%, Kalisz 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
9 Aug 2025
13:30 Hutnik Krakow vs Resovia Rzeszow Analysis →
14:00 Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala Analysis →
18:00 Sokol Kleczew vs Jastrzebie Zdroj Analysis →