Spartak Subotica 1-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.51
-12% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
17.9 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.47 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
387 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
04.11.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
18.02.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.09.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
15.05.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
24.10.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.02 xG 0.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
488 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica and Mladost Lucani couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Subotica at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 60% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 40%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spartak Subotica and 0.67 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Mladost Lucani?

Spartak Subotica 1-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 48%, draw 27%, Mladost Lucani 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5
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