Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kızılyıldız v Backa Topola — Team-Based Signals
Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
Kızılyıldız 1-0 Backa Topola — Actual Match Statistics
Kızılyıldız edged past Backa Topola 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kızılyıldız had 53% of the ball to Backa Topola's 47%, shots finished 27-14, expected goals 2.54 to 1.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.00 for Backa Topola.
What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola?
Kızılyıldız 1-0 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 74%, draw 14%, Backa Topola 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.