Backa Topola 1-2 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 62%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
0.71/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.82
+33% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +35%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
229 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
9.7 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.13 xG 2.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
278 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 2-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
02.05.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
02.03.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-3 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
01.11.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
17.05.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-3 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRBK
22.04.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
1-2
AWAY Kızılyıldız
1.39 xG 2.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
260 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız edged past Backa Topola 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Backa Topola had 46% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 54%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.39 to 2.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Backa Topola and 2.67 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Kızılyıldız?

Backa Topola 1-2 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 26%, draw 23%, Kızılyıldız 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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