Liverpool vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liverpool v Monaco — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Liverpool 2-3 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco nicked a narrow win over Liverpool 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
File this under upsets: a 69% lean on Liverpool went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Liverpool had 52% of the ball to Monaco's 48%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.33 to 2.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liverpool and 0.50 for Monaco.
Liverpool vs Monaco Result & Final Score
Liverpool 2 - 3 Monaco in the Friendlies on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Liverpool vs Monaco Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 69%, draw 16%, Monaco 15%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.