Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Friendlies, 9 Aug 2026

Manchester City
vs
Atletico Madrid
📅09/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Friendlies – 2026/2027

Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Manchester City v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 0.51
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
576 Passes 257
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.07.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
13.04.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City ŞMP
05.04.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid ŞMP
FAQ Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Manchester City and 0.67 for Atletico Madrid.

When do Manchester City and Atletico Madrid play?

Manchester City play Atletico Madrid in the Friendlies on 09/08/2026, kick-off 14:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?

Our model makes a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%. The full match-result split is Manchester City 48%, draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 28%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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