Marsilya 3-1 Athletic Bilbao — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Friendlies, 9 Aug 2026

Marsilya WWLWW→
3 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao LWWDW→
📅09/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Also in play: 2-3 · 1-4 — 4% together
Friendlies – 2026

Marsilya vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 15:15
Match Result
Home
34%
2.56
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.25
OverVIEW
62%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.72
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
29%
2.73
6+
11%
7.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.8
1/2
3%
23.35
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
11%
6.38
X/2
13%
5.87
X/X
14%
5.53
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
25%
3.34
2/X
5%
12.1
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Marsilya v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Marsilya The Market 39%
Signal
AWAY Athletic Bilbao The Market 42%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.58 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.63
1.51 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8
12 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2

Marsilya vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.03.2018 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-2 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya AVL
08.03.2018 Marsilya Marsilya 3-1 HT 2-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao AVL
25.02.2016 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya AVL
18.02.2016 Marsilya Marsilya 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao AVL

Marsilya 3-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya
3 - 1
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Marsilya vs Athletic Bilbao
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Marsilya had too much for Athletic Bilbao 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We leaned Athletic Bilbao at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Marsilya had 56% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 44%, shots finished 13-4.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marsilya and 1.00 for Athletic Bilbao.

Marsilya vs Athletic Bilbao Result & Final Score

Marsilya 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Marsilya vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 34%, draw 25%, Athletic Bilbao 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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