Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-1
HT 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
3-1
HT 2-0
Orange County SC
USLP
1-3
HT 0-3
Orange County SC
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies ran out comfortable winners over Orange County SC 3-0 away from home in the USL Championship on 9 Aug 2026. Half-time: 0-1.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.27 to 2.05.
Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Orange County SC and 1.75 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Orange County SC 0-3 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 26%, draw 22%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.