Lexington 1-0 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Aug 2026

📅09/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.39/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.3 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.03 xG 0.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 390
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Lexington Lexington 2-0 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
05.07.2025 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-1 HT 0-1 Lexington Lexington USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
1-0
AWAY Phoenix Rising
0.90 xG 0.57
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 7
381 Passes 298
21 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Lexington vs Phoenix Rising
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lexington edged past Phoenix Rising 1-0 in the USL Championship on 9 Aug 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.90 to 0.57.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lexington have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lexington and 0.00 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

Lexington 1-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lexington 45%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lexington) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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