Lexington vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Lexington 1-0 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington edged past Phoenix Rising 1-0 in the USL Championship on 9 Aug 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.
On the day, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.90 to 0.57.
Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lexington have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lexington and 0.00 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?
Lexington 1-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lexington 45%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.