Lexington 2-0 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.68
-70% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
15.7 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.66 xG 0.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
371 Passes 410
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 24
5 Crosses 19
05.07.2025 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-1 HT 0-1 Lexington Lexington USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
2-0
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.41 xG 0.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
368 Passes 370
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Lexington vs Phoenix Rising
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lexington beat Phoenix Rising 2-0 in the USL Championship on 10 Aug 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Lexington had 51% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 49%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.41 to 0.23.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

Lexington 2-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lexington 47%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lexington) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
10 Aug 2025
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Orange County SC Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs El Paso Locomotive Analysis →
02:00 Rhode Island vs Loudoun United Analysis →
02:00 Detroit City vs Indy Eleven Analysis →
02:30 North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Analysis →
03:00 Louisville City vs Charleston Battery Analysis →