Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
1-1
HT 1-0
Orange County SC
USLP
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Orange County SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Pittsburgh Riverhounds carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 56% of the ball to Orange County SC's 44%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.52 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orange County SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.33 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Orange County SC?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 56%, draw 22%, Orange County SC 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), BTTS No went the other way.