Louisville City vs Charleston Battery Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Charleston Battery — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Charleston Battery Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Charleston Battery
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 4-1 Charleston Battery — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City cruised past Charleston Battery 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, Louisville City had 30% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 70%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.14 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Louisville City and 1.33 for Charleston Battery.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Charleston Battery?
Louisville City 4-1 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Charleston Battery?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 44%, draw 26%, Charleston Battery 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.