Phoenix Rising 0-1 Lexington — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — USL Championship, 5 Jul 2025

Phoenix Rising DWDLW→
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Lexington DLWWW→
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Also in play: 3-0 · 3-2 — 8% together
USL Championship – 2025

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 08:12
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
OverVIEW
52%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.87
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.75
6+
6%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Phoenix Rising v Lexington — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Phoenix Rising The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Lexington The Market 29%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.71 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 81%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4

Phoenix Rising 0-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
0 - 1
AWAY Lexington
0.39 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
410 Passes 371
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 5
REVIEW Phoenix Rising vs Lexington
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lexington edged past Phoenix Rising 1-0 away from home.

A gentle 51% lean on Phoenix Rising didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 50%.

The match data tells the story: Phoenix Rising had 53% of the ball to Lexington's 47%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.39 to 0.66.

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington Result & Final Score

Phoenix Rising 0 - 1 Lexington in the USL Championship on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 51%, draw 26%, Lexington 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
5 Jul 2025
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New Mexico United Analysis →
04:00 Colorado Springs vs Louisville City Analysis →
04:00 El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio Analysis →
05:30 Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic Analysis →