Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 0-2 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic got the better of Las Vegas Lights 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sacramento Republic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 47% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 53%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.24 to 1.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 2.00 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?
Las Vegas Lights 0-2 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 33%, draw 27%, Sacramento Republic 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.