Sacramento Republic 4-0 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.41 xG 0.83
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 412
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 5-0 HT 3-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
02.11.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-0 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
22.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-1 HT 1-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
04.07.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
02.10.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
30.07.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-2 HT 1-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
POST-MATCH Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic swept aside Las Vegas Lights 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sacramento Republic as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sacramento Republic and 0.67 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?

Sacramento Republic 4-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USLKP on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 51%, draw 26%, Las Vegas Lights 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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