Las Vegas Lights 0-0 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.6
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.33/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.26
+22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.8 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
335 Passes 369
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-1 HT 1-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
04.07.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
02.10.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
30.07.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-2 HT 1-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
21.08.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-1 HT 2-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
01.05.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
0-0
AWAY Sacramento Republic
0.73 xG 1.33
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
633 Passes 231
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Vegas Lights and Sacramento Republic fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 34% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 69% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 31%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 0.73 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.17 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?

Las Vegas Lights 0-0 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 34%, draw 34%, Sacramento Republic 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/31) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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