Memphis 901 0-1 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +30%
1.56/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
+29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.0 Crosses 13.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memphis 901
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Orange County SC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.93 xG 1.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.07.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 4-1 HT 3-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
06.04.2024 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-2 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
23.07.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 3-4 HT 3-3 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
04.09.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Memphis 901
0-1
AWAY Orange County SC
1.13 xG 2.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 14
413 Passes 530
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 46
15 Crosses 42
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC nicked a narrow win over Memphis 901 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Memphis 901 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Memphis 901 had 44% of the ball to Orange County SC's 56%, shots finished 20-24, expected goals 1.13 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orange County SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Memphis 901 and 2.75 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC?

Memphis 901 0-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 54%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Memphis 901) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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