Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Memphis 901 v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Memphis 901 0-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Memphis 901 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Memphis 901 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 50%.
On the day, Orange County SC saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 20-24, expected goals 1.13 to 2.04.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orange County SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.25 a game for Memphis 901 against 2.75 for Orange County SC.
Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
Memphis 901 0 - 1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Memphis 901 vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 55%, draw 25%, Orange County SC 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Memphis 901) went the other way.