Loudoun United 2-1 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
29%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
41%
-11.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Louisville City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 1.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
358 Passes 289
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Louisville City Louisville City 2-1 HT 2-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United ABDK
22.03.2025 Louisville City Louisville City 2-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
07.09.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 1-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
20.04.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
24.09.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
09.07.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 1-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Louisville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United edged past Louisville City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Loudoun United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Loudoun United and 1.50 for Louisville City.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Louisville City?

Loudoun United 2-1 Louisville City in the USLKP on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 39%, draw 32%, Louisville City 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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