Louisville City vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Loudoun United
USLP
4-2
HT 3-1
Loudoun United
USLP
Louisville City 2-1 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City squeezed past Loudoun United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Louisville City had 36% of the ball to Loudoun United's 64%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.69 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Louisville City and 0.50 for Loudoun United.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
Louisville City 2-1 Loudoun United in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 53%, draw 20%, Loudoun United 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.