Columbus Crew II 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.9pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 54%
+69% / +69% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+134% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
222 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
2.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew II vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds edged past Columbus Crew II 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew II vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Columbus Crew II 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew II vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew II 31%, draw 23%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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