Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.0pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
215 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
1-2
AWAY Rhode Island
0.60 xG 0.45
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
217 Passes 120
71% Pass Accuracy 56%
14 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island squeezed past Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 59% of the ball to Rhode Island's 41%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.60 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Rhode Island?

Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Rhode Island in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 19%, draw 32%, Rhode Island 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ BTTS Yes
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