Union Omaha 1-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 48%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
35.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
1-0
AWAY San Antonio
0.54 xG 0.31
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
238 Passes 480
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha nicked a narrow win over San Antonio 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Union Omaha made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 35% of the ball to San Antonio's 65%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs San Antonio?

Union Omaha 1-0 San Antonio in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 38%, draw 24%, San Antonio 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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