Charlotte Ind. 1-3 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Ind. EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Ind.
4W-1D-1L
AWAY North Carolina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 460
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2020 North Carolina North Carolina 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Ind. Charlotte Ind. USLP
20.09.2020 North Carolina North Carolina 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Ind. Charlotte Ind. USLP
06.09.2020 Charlotte Ind. Charlotte Ind. 3-1 HT 2-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
27.08.2020 Charlotte Ind. Charlotte Ind. 1-0 HT 0-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
05.07.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 1-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Ind. Charlotte Ind. USLP
21.04.2019 Charlotte Ind. Charlotte Ind. 0-3 HT 0-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Ind.
1-3
AWAY North Carolina
0.63 xG 2.08
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
246 Passes 475
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Charlotte Ind. vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina beat Charlotte Ind. 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day North Carolina made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlotte Ind. had 37% of the ball to North Carolina's 63%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.63 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Ind. had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Charlotte Ind. and 0.83 for North Carolina.

What was the final score of Charlotte Ind. vs North Carolina?

Charlotte Ind. 1-3 North Carolina in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Ind. vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Ind. win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Ind. 37%, draw 26%, North Carolina 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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