Alta 2-2 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
226 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
2-2
AWAY Orange County SC
0.87 xG 0.93
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
607 Passes 205
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alta vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta and Orange County SC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Orange County SC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alta had 69% of the ball to Orange County SC's 31%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.87 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Alta vs Orange County SC?

Alta 2-2 Orange County SC in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alta 35%, draw 24%, Orange County SC 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orange County SC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orange County SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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