Colorado Springs 0-1 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.56/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.07
+45% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
15.0 Crosses 19.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Louisville City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.62 xG 1.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
379 Passes 237
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
03.09.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-3 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
24.07.2021 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-1 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
0-1
AWAY Louisville City
1.54 xG 0.43
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
351 Passes 154
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Louisville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City edged past Colorado Springs 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Louisville City made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 63% of the ball to Louisville City's 37%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.54 to 0.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Colorado Springs.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Colorado Springs and 2.00 for Louisville City.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Louisville City?

Colorado Springs 0-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 37%, draw 26%, Louisville City 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ BTTS Yes
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