Louisville City 2-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louisville City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.07/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.80
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.8 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Louisville City
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Colorado Springs
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.44
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
228 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.09.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-3 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
24.07.2021 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-1 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Louisville City
2-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
2.38 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 1
255 Passes 353
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Louisville City vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City nicked a narrow win over Colorado Springs 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Louisville City had 46% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 54%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.38 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Louisville City and 1.50 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Louisville City vs Colorado Springs?

Louisville City 2-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 57%, draw 23%, Colorado Springs 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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