Charleston Battery 2-0 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.61
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
29%
2.5
6+ Goals
16%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
79%
-15.7pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.7pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 11%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.77/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.89
-42% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
469 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
18.6 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Miami FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.01 xG 1.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
416 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
08.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-2 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
16.07.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
14.07.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
22.05.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-4 HT 0-3 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
31.10.2021 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-4 HT 0-2 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
2-0
AWAY Miami FC
2.59 xG 0.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
489 Passes 270
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
49 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery beat Miami FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 62% of the ball to Miami FC's 38%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.59 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miami FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charleston Battery and 2.17 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Miami FC?

Charleston Battery 2-0 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 63%, draw 19%, Miami FC 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Over 2.5
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