North Carolina 1-1 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +18%
1.79/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.17
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.9 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Detroit City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
234 Passes 296
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
1-1
AWAY Detroit City
0.98 xG 0.99
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
168 Passes 498
68% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina and Detroit City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, North Carolina had 30% of the ball to Detroit City's 70%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.98 to 0.99.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Detroit City?

North Carolina 1-1 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 40%, draw 30%, Detroit City 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (North Carolina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North Carolina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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