Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds edged past New Mexico United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 30% of the ball to New Mexico United's 70%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.44 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pittsburgh Riverhounds's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.00 for New Mexico United.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1 - 0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 48%, draw 28%, New Mexico United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.