Miami FC 0-1 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Aug 2026

📅09/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
9.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +21%
1.34/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
-12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.8 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.89 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
09.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-1 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
23.04.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 4-1 HT 3-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
09.10.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-2 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-1
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.50 xG 0.92
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
330 Passes 402
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Las Vegas Lights edged past Miami FC 1-0 away from home in the USL Championship on 9 Aug 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.50 to 0.92.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Miami FC and 1.75 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights?

Miami FC 0-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miami FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 44%, draw 22%, Las Vegas Lights 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miami FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
9 Aug 2026
02:00 Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion Analysis →
02:00 Loudoun United vs Charleston Battery Analysis →
02:00 Lexington vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic Analysis →
02:30 Rhode Island vs Colorado Springs Analysis →
03:00 Louisville City vs San Antonio Analysis →