Las Vegas Lights 3-1 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.01
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.66 — our 28% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
Crosses 13.4
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Miami FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.77 xG 2.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 437
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 4-1 HT 3-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
09.10.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-2 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
3-1
AWAY Miami FC
1.94 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
419 Passes 245
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Las Vegas Lights vs Miami FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Las Vegas Lights beat Miami FC 3-1 in the USL Championship on 9 Jun 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 60% of the ball to Miami FC's 40%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.94 to 0.83.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 3.00 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Miami FC?

Las Vegas Lights 3-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 53%, draw 22%, Miami FC 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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