Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-0
HT 1-0
San Antonio
USLP
3-1
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City and San Antonio shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USL Championship on 9 Aug 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.43 to 0.68.
Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Louisville City and 1.33 for San Antonio.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs San Antonio?
Louisville City 1-1 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs San Antonio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 64%, draw 19%, San Antonio 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 went the other way.