America Mineiro vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America Mineiro v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals
America Mineiro vs Guarani FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
America Mineiro
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Guarani FC
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
3-2
HT 1-1
Guarani FC
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
America Mineiro
BR2
America Mineiro 3-0 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics
America Mineiro cruised past Guarani FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.
On the day, America Mineiro had 39% of the ball to Guarani FC's 61%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.92 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America Mineiro and 0.50 for Guarani FC.
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Guarani FC?
America Mineiro 3-0 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Guarani FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 46%, draw 28%, Guarani FC 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.