El Salvador 2-1 Bonaire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.6
No
49%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
9.48
2-3 Goals
41%
2.48
4-5 Goals
28%
2.33
6+ Goals
14%
3.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
85%
-23.2pp
20%
Draw
9%
+10.6pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
34%
+16.4pp
49%
BTTS No
66%
-16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Salvador EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonaire EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+2% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
544 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Salvador
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bonaire
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.03.2024 El Salvador El Salvador 1-1 Bonaire Bonaire Dünya - FIFA Dışı Hazırlık
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Salvador
2-1
AWAY Bonaire
0.89 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
305 Passes 231
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH El Salvador vs Bonaire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Salvador nicked a narrow win over Bonaire 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had El Salvador as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, El Salvador had 54% of the ball to Bonaire's 46%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.89 to 1.14.

What was the final score of El Salvador vs Bonaire?

El Salvador 2-1 Bonaire in the CONCACAF Champions League on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Salvador vs Bonaire?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 62%, draw 20%, Bonaire 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Salvador), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Salvador) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
9 Sep 2024
23:00 Guadeloupe vs Surinam Analysis →
23:00 Martinik vs Guyana Analysis →