09/09/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Aalesund II vs Hodd II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 71% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
56%
22%
Draw
20%
16%
Away Win
24%
29%
Under 2.5
22%
71%
Over 2.5
78%
70%
BTTS Yes
76%
30%
BTTS No
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aalesund II v Hodd II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aalesund II
EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hodd II
EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
1.62/1.82
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.68/2.68
-33%
/
-19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
-14%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
16
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
464 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
262 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
Aalesund II vs Hodd II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Aalesund II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Hodd II
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
70%
Ball Possession
30%
12
Total Shots
2
6
Shots on Target
1
7
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
11.07.2022
Aalesund II
3-1
HT 1-0
Hodd II
NOR4
3-1
HT 1-0
Hodd II
NOR4
POST-MATCH
Aalesund II vs Hodd II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Aalesund II saw off Hodd II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aalesund II as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (70%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Aalesund II vs Hodd II?
Aalesund II 3-1 Hodd II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aalesund II vs Hodd II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund II win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Aalesund II 62%, draw 22%, Hodd II 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Aalesund II)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
9 Sep 2024